Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 68-69°F in NYC on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly lower confidence, indicating a general agreement among participants about the expected weather conditions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 68°F.
• 2 High confidence in the 'NO' outcome suggests stable weather expectations.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of 0.95.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 5 Low probability for 'YES' indicates limited belief in reaching the specified temperature range.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.