Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 12?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 10°C on March 12.

Current market sentiment indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in Paris will remain below 10°C on March 12, with a 100% probability assigned to 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood for a temperature of 10°C or higher.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also reflects low chances for 'YES' at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong market conviction.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.