Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Paris will not reach 10°C on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that the highest temperature in Paris will not hit 10°C on March 30. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low chance of reaching that temperature. Given the confidence level of 80/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for the temperature prediction.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of 10°C.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 suggests strong conviction in the current market pricing.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues noted, indicating stable market conditions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, which could affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.