Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 12?

The market strongly favors that Paris will not reach 11°C on March 12.

With a market probability of 0% for a high of 11°C in Paris, the consensus is that this temperature will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for 'YES', indicating a strong belief in the 'NO' outcome. The edge of 1 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief in temperatures below 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Confidence level of 85 suggests a high degree of certainty in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 1 implies that the market is accurately priced at this time.
• 5 No time to expiry is noted, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.