Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts that Paris will not reach 11°C on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of the highest temperature in Paris reaching 11°C on March 30, with a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, assigning a 1% probability to the YES outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a high level of confidence.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against the temperature reaching 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a YES outcome.
• 3 Current confidence level is high at 80/100, suggesting strong market conviction.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.