The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 12°C on March 12.
The market shows a 100% probability for 'NO', indicating a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 12°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with a 99% probability for 'NO', suggesting that current conditions or forecasts do not support this temperature. The confidence level of 85 indicates a high degree of certainty in this prediction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.