Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 23?

The market strongly favors that Paris will not reach 12°C on March 23.

Current market probability indicates a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Paris will not be 12°C on March 23. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, showing a minimal chance of 1% for a YES outcome. This suggests a strong consensus among participants regarding the forecasted temperature.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancy.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 No imminent expiry date may allow for further data to influence the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.