Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?

Market predicts a very high chance of 12°C in Paris on March 29.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Paris will reach 12°C on March 29, with a probability of 99.85%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower confidence of 98.35%. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market consensus is extremely high at 99.85% for 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 98.35%.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 suggests fair market pricing.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability of weather forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.