Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Paris on March 24.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures at or below 12°C, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a high likelihood of temperatures exceeding this threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures above 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in predictions.
• 4 No liquidity concerns noted in the current market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.