Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on March 9?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Paris on March 9.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Paris will exceed 12°C on March 9. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting a strong consensus among participants regarding warmer weather expectations.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures above 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO probability.
• 3 No current indicators suggest a shift towards cooler temperatures.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 High confidence level of 90/100 reflects strong consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.