Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Paris's temperature on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.85% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 13°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a YES outcome. The edge of 0.85 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests temperatures rarely reach 13°C in late March.
• 3 Liquidity in this market appears stable with low volatility.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.