Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?

Market favors temperatures below 14°C in Paris on March 11.

The prediction market indicates an 88.5% probability that the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 14°C on March 11. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 86.5%, suggesting a consensus on lower temperature expectations. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 14°C.
• 2 The market probability and AI probability are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.