Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 14°C in Paris on March 8.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Paris will exceed 14°C on March 8. The AI probability aligns closely, suggesting strong confidence in this forecast, with a high confidence score of 90 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief in temperatures above 14°C.
• 2 AI probability suggests minimal chance of a cooler day.
• 3 Confidence level indicates strong market conviction.
• 4 No liquidity issues observed in the current market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, adding potential volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.