Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 12?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 15°C in Paris on March 12.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.75%) that the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 15°C on March 12. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which also suggests a low likelihood of the event occurring. The market appears to be fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.75.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests confidence in cooler weather forecasts.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current market stance.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 Time pressure is uncertain, which may impact future market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.