Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 15°C in Paris on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.65% for 'NO', the consensus is that the highest temperature will not be 15°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of this temperature being reached. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 The probability of reaching 15°C is considered very low by both market and AI.
• 3 Market pricing suggests confidence in the NO outcome, with a slight edge noted.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.
• 5 Weather forecasts closer to the date could influence market perceptions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.