Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in Paris on March 13.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will be below 15°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced given the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%, but still low.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 1 hour until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.