Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 24?

The market strongly predicts that Paris will not reach 16°C on March 24.

The market shows a definitive NO probability of 100% for the highest temperature in Paris reaching 16°C on March 24, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 99% probability for NO, suggesting confidence in this prediction. Given the edge of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced based on the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 16°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0%, indicating strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1, suggesting no significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, reflecting reliability in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect liquidity and market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.