Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 16°C in Paris on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 16°C on March 30. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of the event occurring. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 Historical weather data shows March temperatures in Paris rarely reach 16°C.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility in predictions.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.