Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 8?

High probability for Paris temperature reaching 16°C on March 8.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for the highest temperature in Paris reaching 16°C on March 8, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction at 99%, suggesting confidence in the forecast. The edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for reaching 16°C.
• 2 Current forecasts support the high temperature prediction.
• 3 Historical data may show similar temperature patterns in early March.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.