Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 18°C in Paris on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Paris will be below 18°C on March 22, with a consensus leaning heavily towards a 'NO' outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for both outcomes, suggesting a strong confidence in the forecasted weather conditions.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures below 18°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consistency.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, reflecting strong agreement among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect liquidity and volatility in the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.