Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 19°C in Paris on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 19°C on March 8. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for YES at 1%, indicating a consistent outlook among participants. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Historical weather data supports a lower temperature expectation.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 4 The confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.