Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 10?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 20°C in Paris on March 10.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus that the temperature will not reach 20°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 20°C.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests strong confidence in cooler weather predictions.
• 3 Current weather forecasts do not indicate any significant warming trend.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 implies the market is accurately reflecting expectations.
• 5 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates a solid basis for the market's stance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.