Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 21°C in Paris on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 21°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting minimal divergence from market sentiment. The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is likely fairly priced given the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors 'NO'.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests temperatures rarely reach 21°C in early March.
• 3 Liquidity in this market appears stable with low volatility.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.
• 5 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the current market assessment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.