Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 22°C in Paris on March 24.

With a market probability of 99.95% for a NO outcome, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature in Paris to remain below 22°C on March 24. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on this prediction. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards NO.
• 2 The probability of YES is very low at 0.05%.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO outcome.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.