Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C or below on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 4°C in Paris on March 26.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% confidence that the highest temperature in Paris will exceed 4°C on March 26. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of temperatures at or below this threshold. With an edge of 1, the market appears fairly priced and reflects strong consensus among participants.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against temperatures of 4°C or below.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with minimal divergence.
• 3 The edge of 1 indicates the market is efficiently priced based on current information.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests a high degree of certainty among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, which could affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.