Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on March 16?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Paris will exceed 6°C on March 16.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 6°C or below, participants are confident that the temperature will be higher. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, showing a very low probability for the YES outcome, indicating a strong consensus against the possibility of such low temperatures.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong belief in the forecast.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with no significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.