Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 6°C in Paris on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that temperatures will exceed 6°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting limited potential for a significant temperature drop. The confidence level of 80/100 reflects a solid belief in this outcome as the expiry approaches.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures above 6°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance for temperatures to be 6°C or below.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 reflects strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.