Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on March 14?

The market strongly predicts that Paris will not reach 7°C on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a unanimous expectation that the highest temperature in Paris will not hit 7°C on March 14, with a confidence level of 90. The AI model supports this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the temperature reaching this threshold.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against reaching 7°C.
• 2 High confidence level suggests strong belief in the prediction.
• 3 AI model aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, adding potential volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.