Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on March 25?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Paris will not reach 8°C on March 25.

Current market probabilities indicate a firm belief that the highest temperature in Paris will not be 8°C on March 25, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal chance for a YES outcome. The confidence level of 80/100 indicates a strong consensus among participants.

• 1 Market shows a clear NO sentiment with 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a slight chance of YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level suggests strong market consensus.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in decision-making.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.