Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on March 12?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Paris will exceed 9°C on March 12.

Current market probabilities indicate a unanimous expectation that the highest temperature in Paris will be above 9°C on March 12, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI corroborates this sentiment with a 99% NO probability, suggesting strong confidence in warmer conditions. The market appears fairly priced, reflecting an 80 out of 100 confidence level.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 9°C.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data is decisive.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.