Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 51°F in San Francisco on March 25.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature will exceed 51°F on March 25. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on warmer weather. The confidence level of 90/100 indicates strong certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 51°F.
• 2 Pulse AI closely aligns with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 3 High confidence level suggests low likelihood of a temperature drop.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge detected.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.