The market strongly favors that temperatures will not reach 56-57°F in San Francisco on March 25.
The prediction market shows a definitive NO at 100%, indicating a strong consensus against temperatures falling within the specified range. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for NO, suggesting a high level of confidence in this outcome. With an edge of 1, the market appears fairly priced, indicating no significant mispricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.