Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on March 30?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 74-75°F in San Francisco on March 30.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of the highest temperature in San Francisco being between 74-75°F on March 30, with a consensus of 99.95% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a strong confidence in the expected weather conditions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 74°F.
• 2 The probability of 0.05% for 'YES' indicates extreme skepticism about reaching the target range.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in late March typically do not support high temperatures in San Francisco.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is unclear, which may affect future adjustments to probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.