Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on March 27?

The market strongly predicts the temperature will not reach 80-81°F in San Francisco on March 27.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in San Francisco will not fall within the 80-81°F range on March 27, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the temperature reaching this range. The confidence level of 85/100 indicates a strong belief in this outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market at 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the prediction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.