Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on March 9?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Sao Paulo will not reach 20°C on March 9.

With a market probability of 0% for a YES outcome, participants overwhelmingly believe the temperature will not hit 20°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a very low chance of a YES outcome at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 85.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests temperatures in March rarely exceed 20°C.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 4 Time pressure is unknown, which may affect participant strategies.
• 5 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is likely accurately priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.