Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 11?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 23°C in Sao Paulo on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 23°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature reaching that level, suggesting the market is fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 23°C.
• 2 The high confidence level suggests strong analytical backing for the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Market pricing indicates minimal perceived risk of a temperature spike.
• 4 Historical weather data may support the low likelihood of reaching 23°C.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which could affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.