Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts that the highest temperature in Sao Paulo will not reach 25°C on March 29.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature will not reach 25°C, with a low confidence level in the alternative outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a minimal probability of 1% for the temperature to meet or exceed 25°C. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against the temperature reaching 25°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 85 suggests strong market belief in the NO outcome.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the NO prediction.
• 4 Low probability for YES indicates minimal market interest in that outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect future market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.