Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 8?

High probability for Sao Paulo's temperature reaching 28°C on March 8.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for the temperature in Sao Paulo to reach 28°C on March 8, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with a 99% probability, suggesting confidence in the forecast. However, the edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced view.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the 28°C prediction.
• 2 The high probabilities suggest strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current temperature expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for accurate pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.