Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 29°C in Sao Paulo on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature will be below 29°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 29°C.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests strong confidence in cooler weather forecasts.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperature trends for this time of year.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect volatility in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.