Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 30?

High confidence that Sao Paulo's temperature will reach 29°C on March 30.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for the temperature in Sao Paulo to reach 29°C on March 30, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a high level of confidence in the forecast. However, the edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting minimal room for arbitrage.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in the YES outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.