Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Sao Paulo's temperature on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 30°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 5 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.