Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 31°C in Sao Paulo on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus indicates a very low likelihood of the temperature reaching 31°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for NO, suggesting strong confidence in the prediction.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 31°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a stable outlook with minimal expected fluctuations.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for arbitrage.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.