Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 17?

The market predicts a low chance of temperatures reaching 33°C in Sao Paulo on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a 3.80% chance of temperatures reaching 33°C or higher, with a strong consensus against it at 96.2%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.3%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100, indicating uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 33°C.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a well-balanced market pricing.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperature trends for this date.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations in betting volume.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.