Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 12?

The market strongly predicts Seattle's temperature will exceed 39°F on March 12.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Seattle will be above 39°F on March 12. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a very low probability of 1% for temperatures at or below 39°F. The market appears fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 39°F.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of colder temperatures.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.