Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 41°F in Seattle on March 17.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Seattle will exceed 41°F on March 17. The confidence level is high, suggesting that the market is accurately reflecting expectations based on available weather forecasts.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 41°F.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of colder temperatures.
• 3 Current sentiment reflects a stable weather forecast for the date in question.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but confidence remains high.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.