Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on March 22?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 45°F in Seattle on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Seattle will exceed 45°F on March 22. With a high confidence level of 80/100, the market appears to be fairly priced, suggesting consensus among participants about warmer conditions on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures at or below 45°F.
• 2 Key factors influencing this market include historical temperature trends for March in Seattle.
• 3 The market shows strong liquidity, indicating active participation from traders.
• 4 The AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.