Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 52°F in Seattle on March 14.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 52°F. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 52°F.
• 2 The high NO probability indicates strong confidence in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Seattle supports lower temperatures.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.