Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 54°F in Seattle on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect temperatures to remain below 54°F. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.6 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 54°F.
• 2 The probability of YES is very low at 0.40%.
• 3 Pulse AI reflects a similar outlook with a 1% probability for YES.
• 4 The edge of 0.6 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.