Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 16?

There is a 76% chance Seattle's temperature will reach 56°F or higher on March 16.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief, with a 76% probability, that Seattle's temperature will be 56°F or higher on March 16. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 73%, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced, as indicated by the edge of -3.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a warmer than average day.
• 2 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a YES outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the likelihood of higher temperatures.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating active participation.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.