Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 58°F in Seattle on March 8.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that the highest temperature in Seattle will not reach 58°F on March 8, with a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather expectations for that date.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong belief in temperatures below 58°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic but still favors 'NO'.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong conviction in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.